Tuesday, October 22, 2024

Electric Bus Market Size to Grow $37.5 billion by 2030

Electric Bus Market Size to Grow $37.5 billion by 2030
Electric Bus Market - Global Forecast 2030
Electric Bus Market by Propulsion (BEV, FCEV), Battery (LFP, NMC, NCA), Length (<9, 9-14, >14m), Application (City, Coach, Midi, School), Seating/Battery Capacity, Range, Power Output, Autonomy Level, Component, Consumer Region - Global Forecast to 2030

The Electric Bus Market Size has witnessed substantial growth in recent years, driven by the global shift towards sustainable transportation and the reduction of carbon emissions. Governments across the world are implementing strict regulations and offering incentives to promote the adoption of electric buses in urban areas. With advancements in battery technology, charging infrastructure, and a push for cleaner public transport solutions, the electric bus market size is expected to expand significantly over the next decade.

As cities aim to modernize public transportation systems, the electric bus market size is projected to see continued growth. Fleet operators are transitioning to electric buses to meet environmental targets, reduce operational costs, and improve air quality. Additionally, the increasing demand for zero-emission public transport solutions is propelling investments in electric bus manufacturing and innovation, further boosting the electric bus market size globally.

The global electric bus market is projected to be USD 17.0 billion in 2024 and to grow to USD 37.5 billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 14.2%.

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The battery electric bus segment is estimated to be the largest segment during the forecast period.

The BEVs segment dominates the electric bus market with around 95% share in 2024. Even though BEVs are more expensive to acquire initially compared to diesel buses, they have more operational efficiency, with the average being about 90% as compared to diesel ones, which is between 30% and 40%. The average range of battery electric buses usually delivers an average range of 150 to 250 miles, based on the installed battery type, and cost less with power consumption compared to diesel-powered vehicles. This results in reduced operational expenses for pure electric buses. The Asia-Pacific will remain the largest market for BEVs, with government policies supportive to pure electric buses. Aggressive efforts of China and financial support of India are the main forces behind this industry at present. By 2023, over 70% of all electric buses running on roads across the world will be from India. Besides, a significant dependence of battery electric buses lies in the improvement of battery technology. LFP, NMC, LTO, LMO, and other lithium-ion types of batteries had higher energy density and were cost-efficient. That way, electric buses can now go further between charges compared to earlier models of electric vehicles, thus reducing operational costs. Suppliers such as CATL, LG Energy Solution, and Panasonic have increased their production in order to satisfy the increasing need for high-performance batteries designed for electric buses. Therefore, increased regulatory compliance efforts, advancements in technology by manufacturers and suppliers, rising environmental consciousness, and a focus on sustainable mobility have all contributed to substantial growth in the battery electric bus sector.

City/ transit bus by application is the largest market in 2024 and is projected to dominate the market by 2030

The usage of electric buses for city application is maximum across all the regions during the forecast period. The demand is mainly prominent for this application due to its suitability for urban environments, comparatively lower travel distance, and fixed defined routes. Local governments are giving benefits and requiring the use of electric buses in their public transportation collections. The pressure from regulations has encouraged Volvo, BYD, and Daimler to develop electric buses tailored for urban environments, with enhancements in maneuverability, seating capacity, and accessibility features. The main motive of the eBRT2030 project in Europe is to enhance urban transportation by developing advanced electric Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems. Demonstrations have taken place in several European cities like Amsterdam, Athens, Barcelona, and Prague. As reported in the study funded by C40 in partnership with the Clean Transport Finance Academy 2023 and other backers, there are plans to introduce a fleet of more than 25,000 e-buses by 2030 and surpass 55,000 by 2050 in 32 Latin American cities. Therefore, the electric bus market is projected to remain strong in the future due to advancements like smart charging infrastructure and vehicle-to-grid technologies, which aim to enhance energy efficiency and lower operational expenses for city buses.

North America will be the fastest-growing market for electric buses from 2024-2030.

North America is estimated to be the fastest-growing market during the forecast period. In North America, government incentives, the presence of individual investors, and technological edge are driving the electric bus market. The US has been leading the market in this region. The market is expanding due to government incentives, tax breaks, and private investments. The Federal Transit Administration set aside USD 1.7 billion in 2023 for buses, with an emphasis on zero-emission vehicles, even though European acceptance lags lag. This shift is further supported by the USD 5.6 billion set up in the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law for cleaner buses. make at least one-third of its 70,000 public transit buses electric by 2045. 

Key Market Players:

The report profiles key players such as BYD Company Ltd. (China), Yutong Co., Ltd. (China), VDL Groep (Netherlands), AB Volvo (Sweden) and CAF (Solaris Bus & Coach sp. z o.o.) (Spain). These companies adopted new product development, and supply contract strategies to gain traction in the terminal tractor market.

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